This was a rather serious and tedious effort, that required many hours of my A Game.
The most critical factor is the VAERS under reporting number. A Harvard Pilgrim study showed about only 1 in 100 adverse events get reported, Steve Kirsch settles on 1 in 41 get reported. A Columbia University Professor posits 1 in 20 but without support.
That being the case, I built a spreadsheet that allows the VAERS reporting percentage to be user changed and the rest of the spreadsheet responds to create risk reward. I focus only on Deaths, although there are many other severe adverse events.
Here is the spreadsheet if you want it. If you use it elsewhere attribute it back to this source with a working hyperlink.
https://app.box.com/s/hqvpjoaprqe1hqsdmooa60a5fzeq3ql6
Curious, the overall adverse events by age group. Perhaps older people, less tech savvy, just report even less, or they just don't care so much about health problems as they are already dealing with many.
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